Eye openers

By Nagaland Post | Publish Date: 11/7/2018 12:01:05 PM IST

 In Indian politics, when a single party is in power, the opposition parties resort to either plan for a grand alliance or join the dominant party and hope to bask in the glory. Any party that can score somewhere around 30 per cent of the vote share in the Lok Sabha elections can be assured of a win. It has been shown that any party getting more than 30 per cent vote gets a close shot at power. This can be understood from the vote share of the BJP during 2014 when it got a majority with 282 seats in the Lok Sabha, with a vote share of 31 per cent. On the other hand, the Congress vote share dropped down to its lowest at 19.3 per cent and won only 44 seats. In the preceding election in 2009, the Congress got 28.55 per cent and won 206 seats while the BJP under L.K.Advani got 18.80 per cent and won 116 seats. In the present situation, the BJP heading the NDA coalition has been rubbing its allies the wrong way such as the Shiv Sena and TDP. The latter two have become critical while TDP has left the NDA and has teamed up with its arch rival the Congress for the assembly polls in Telangana and the Lok Sabha polls in 2019. Forming a grand alliance, especially with the Congress as a major partner, hasn’t been easy unlike the BJP, which had to work its way up through alliances. Congress has forged an opportunistic alliance in Karnataka and managed to retain power through backdoor with JDS. The two parties had tempestuous relations in the past but the ‘need of the hour’ of defeating the BJP had brought them together again, largely due to the wholehearted support by Rahul Gandhi. Unlike in Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan where the Congress is confident of returning to power on its own and therefore not keen to ‘sacrifice’ too many seats to SP and BSP; in Karnataka the party is learning the ropes of keeping its partner happy. In a boost to the ruling Cogress-JDS coalition the alliance alliance won two assembly seats and two Lok Sabha seats while BJP managed to narrowly win Shivamogga, the seat vacated by its leader and former chief minister B.S.Yeddyurappa. The results are a damper to the Diwali mood for prime minister Narendra Modi and his chief confidante and party president Amit Shah. The Congress snatched Bellary, a BJP stronghold since 2004 by a huge margin of 3 lakh as against the 95,000 margin won by BJP in 2014. The JDS won the Mandya Lok Sabha seat by over 3.25 lakh votes. An upper hand in these by-elections will be seen as validation for the Congress-JD(S) coalition amid digs about its longevity from the BJP, which is still smarting at its failure to form a government despite winning the most number of seats in the May state elections. The Congress-JDS alliance had also won more than 50 per cent of seats in the municipal elections held earlier. The victories cannot guarantee success in forging a national coalition. If such a coalition is formed, the BJP could still play big even if it loses in 2019; after all, in politics there is no permanent friend or permanent enemy but only permanent interests.

Launched on December 3,1990. Nagaland Post is the first and highest circulated newspaper of Nagaland state. Nagaland Post is also the first newspaper in Nagaland to be published in multi-colour.

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