Monday, March 2, 2026
EditorialMiddle east turns into war zone

Middle east turns into war zone

The latest round of American and Israeli air and drone strikes on Iran marks yet another dangerous turn in an already volatile Middle East with the Israel-Gaza war on its third year. What makes the escalation particularly striking is the timing. Only months after Washington helped broker a ceasefire following last year’s 12-day confrontation with Tehran, and despite ongoing negotiations over Iran’s nuclear and ballistic missile programmes, the region is once again on edge.The immediate trigger appears to have been the collapse of diplomatic momentum. Omani mediators had signalled progress in talks held in Geneva, with reports suggesting that Iran was willing to accept strict conditions, including zero uranium stockpiling and comprehensive verification by the International Atomic Energy Agency. Yet the optimism was short lived. Washington and Tel Aviv have consistently maintained that Iran’s enrichment capacity and missile development represent an existential threat. They have also framed the moment as one of political opportunity, suggesting that pressure could embolden Iranians to challenge their clerical leadership.Tehran, for its part, responded swiftly. Missile launches toward Israel were followed by air raid sirens and reported explosions in northern Israeli cities. In turn, coordinated American and Israeli strikes hit Iranian targets, prompting further retaliation against locations across the Gulf where United States forces are stationed, including Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates. What was once a contained confrontation now risks becoming a broader regional conflict, drawing in multiple states that host strategic American assets.At the heart of the dispute lies Iran’s nuclear ambition. From Tehran’s perspective, relinquishing its programme would mean surrendering strategic leverage in a region where Israel is widely believed to possess nuclear capability. For Iran’s leadership, nuclear advancement is not merely about deterrence but about regional stature and influence. For its adversaries, however, the same ambition is seen as destabilising and intolerable.Complicating matters further is Iran’s internal unrest. In recent months, the country has witnessed some of the most widespread protests since the founding of the Islamic Republic. Thousands have taken to the streets, voicing anger over economic hardship, political repression, and the conduct of security forces. Reports have circulated of severe crackdowns, and allegations that foreign fighters were used to suppress dissent have fuelled public outrage. These domestic pressures have not toppled the regime, but they have exposed deep fractures within Iranian society.It is against this backdrop that the United States has framed its latest military campaign, reportedly named “Epic Fury,” while Israel refers to its operation as “Lion’s Roar.” The strikes followed unsuccessful talks and came after months of mounting rhetoric. Washington has repeatedly declared its readiness to intervene when Iranian authorities clamp down on protesters, and it has portrayed military action as both defensive and morally justified.The pattern is familiar. Sanctions, mistrust, and competing regional ambitions have kept the conflict simmering beneath the surface. Now, with Gulf states drawn into the retaliatory cycle and diplomatic channels faltering, the stakes are significantly higher. Calls for regime change, whether explicit or implied, add another combustible element. History shows that external pressure rarely produces orderly political transitions. Instead, it often entrenches hardline positions and deepens instability. Military operations may deliver tactical gains, but they risk igniting a wider conflagration that could engulf the region. Sustainable peace will not emerge from bombardment alone. It will require a return to credible diplomacy, mutual restraint, and an acknowledgment that regional security cannot be secured through perpetual escalation.

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