As a Naga who has watched our land and people change — sometimes for the better, often not — I write this piece not as an expert, but as someone who cares deeply. What follows is an attempt to bring clarity to a discussion that’s too often clouded by fear, confusion, and half-truths. I don’t claim to have the answers, but I believe the right questions and grounded analysis can move us forward.
The fear of an alleged influx of “illegal Bangladeshi immigrants” (IBIs) in Nagaland has surged in recent months, triggering panic, political posturing, and deep confusion across the state. Yet the situation demands far more than emotional reactions or rhetorical posturing. It calls for a sober, coherent, and layered analysis that distinguishes myth from reality, identifies the true sources of insecurity, and outlines sustainable, community-driven responses. To do anything less is to risk undermining both the dignity and future of the Naga people.
Is There Really an Influx? Understanding the Demographic Landscape
Despite loud warnings and viral social media posts, there is limited credible public data to prove an unprecedented demographic shift in Nagaland caused by Bangladeshi migration. The fear is real, yes, but it is mostly based on visible changes — like increased numbers of Muslim labourers in urban areas — rather than solid census or immigration data.
And yet, visible change matters. Perception shapes public opinion and policy, even in the absence of robust facts. Nagaland’s urban areas, especially Dimapur and parts of Niuland and Chümoukedima, have seen growing numbers of non-local, non-tribal migrant workers, many of whom come from Bengal and Assam, some possibly of Bangladeshi origin. But to confuse migrant workers — many of whom are short-term or seasonal — with a population replacement strategy is both intellectually lazy and politically dangerous.
Who is Benefiting from This Narrative?
Let’s ask the harder question: who benefits from the widespread fear of a ‘Bangladeshi takeover’? The state government gains a convenient distraction from its chronic governance failures. Corrupt bureaucratic systems profit from a vast undocumented labour force with no rights. Certain sections of Naga society enjoy the cheap labour provided by migrant workers, while simultaneously demonising them.
In this climate, calling every Muslim-looking poor person a Bangladeshi becomes a socially sanctioned form of racism. It removes nuance and targets the most vulnerable while protecting the powerful who enable and profit from their presence.
The Real Crisis: Collapse of State Capacity and Land Governance
The core issue is not immigration — it is the collapse of governance, particularly in border management, urban regulation, land use, and labour policies.
Nagaland’s porous borders, poor land-use records, and lack of inter-agency coordination have created a situation where no one knows who is legally present and who isn’t. The Inner Line Permit (ILP) regime, meant to control inward migration, is arbitrarily implemented and openly violated, especially in commercial hubs. The fact that the government is only now promising to implement ILP “strictly” is a damning admission of decades of state neglect or collusion.
Moreover, the lack of urban planning, labour documentation, and housing regulation has allowed informal settlements to mushroom — often on tribal land, through murky leases or political protection. This isn’t just about migrants — it’s about the commodification of land, the decay of community governance, and the silence of tribal institutions.
Electoral Anxiety: Real or Manufactured?
There is legitimate concern about non-locals gaining voting rights and influencing elections, particularly in urban constituencies. But let’s not pretend this happened by accident. Voter rolls are managed by local electoral officers. Electoral photo ID cards are issued by state staff. If there are fake voters or ineligible migrants on the rolls, it’s because local power brokers put them there — not because of an invasion.
The truth is more inconvenient: Naga political actors have routinely used migrant vote banks for electoral advantage, especially in urban and semi-urban districts. To now sound alarm bells is hypocritical unless accompanied by serious electoral reform, including digitised cross-verification of voter ID and land records.
Global and National Context: Migration is a Symptom, Not the Disease
We must situate this crisis in a broader frame. Climate change, political instability in Bangladesh, and economic marginalisation in Assam and West Bengal are driving people to seek work across borders. This isn’t unique to Nagaland. From Europe to the US to Northeast India, marginalised migrants are often criminalised while the systems that rely on their labour remain untouched.
What makes Nagaland vulnerable is not the migrant alone, but our own internal contradictions: a tribal governance system disconnected from urban realities, elite-led institutions that fail to protect common people, and a state government that oscillates between inaction and overreach.
The Opportunity for a Real Response
Instead of chasing shadows, Nagaland must pursue a six-point strategy rooted in justice, sovereignty, and sustainability:
- Digitise ILP, land ownership, and labour systems using blockchain or Naga people’s own Aadhaar-like-integrated platforms — with strong data protection and tribal oversight.
- Create a Thailand-like robust legal pathway for temporary migrant labour with biometric registration, rights protection, and time-bound permits. Criminalisation without regulation will only expand the shadow economy.
- Strengthen tribal land councils and village authorities to monitor tenancy, leasing, and settlement practices — with legal backing.
- Hold political and electoral actors accountable for enrolment of ineligible voters — publish yearly audits of electoral rolls in urban constituencies.
- Educate and sensitise civil society — especially student bodies, tribal unions, and churches — about the difference between xenophobia and self-governance.
- Collaborate with Assam, Meghalaya, and Manipur civil societies to create a regional migrant-labour compact that respects Indigenous rights while addressing economic realities.
Nagas Must Not Be Played
The greatest threat to Nagaland is not the poor migrant looking for work. It is the system that thrives on fear, confusion, and impunity.
We must stop being spectators to our own dispossession. If we want to protect our identity, land, and political future, we must build systems that are just, transparent, and rooted in the values of our ancestors — not in imported prejudices or elite hypocrisy.
This is a moment for clarity, courage, and collective intelligence. Not for witch-hunts.
James Pochury