Opinion poll predicts Mamata’s return to Bengal; easy win for Himanta in Assam

The opinion poll by Matrize-IANS has predicted chief minister Mamata Banerjee’s return in West Bengal again, though it will be a tough contest for the Trinamool Congress this time. As per the survey, the ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC) is expected to get around 155-170 seats, while BJP may get 100-115 seats.
Assam: In Assam, the people is likely to put their faith again with chief minister Himanta Biswa Sarma-led BJP government. As per the survey, BJP is likely to bag 96-98 seats, Congress: 26-28 seats.
According to the Opinion poll, the ruling BJP government is seen dismissing any anti-incumbency wave and returning to power with a comfortable majority.
The survey forecasts a whopping 96-98-seat mandate for the ruling party in the upcoming Assembly elections.
According to the IANS-Matrize Survey, the BJP is seen grabbing a vote share of 43-44 per cent, effectively translating into 96-98 seats. On the other hand, Congress, the main challenger, is seen doing better but falling short of posing any threat to the ruling dispensation. It is projected to get 39-40 per cent vote share and secure victory in about 26-28 seats in the 140-member Assembly.
West Bengal: The Mamata government, eyeing its fourth term, is likely to return to power in the state despite a strong anti-incumbency wave. According to an opinion poll, it is likely to fetch 43-45 per cent vote share, translating into 155-170 seats in the 292-member Assembly, the halfway mark of which is 148.
BJP-led NDA is expected to improve its tally this time compared to the 2021 Assembly elections and expand its victory in 100-115 constituencies, but will fall short of dislodging the ruling TMC from power.
AIADMK likely to edge DMK in Tamil Nadu: IANS-Matrize opinion poll has projected that the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) alliance could unseat the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) government led by M. K. Stalin in Tamil Nadu, while Kerala is likely to witness a close contest between the two major alliances.
According to the survey, the AIADMK-led alliance may secure 39–40% vote share, translating into around 114–127 seats in the 234-member Assembly, while the ruling DMK could get 37–38% vote share and 104–114 seats.
Actor-turned-politician Vijay’s party, Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), has emerged as a potential disruptor, with the poll projecting 14–15% vote share and 6–12 seats.
Close contest in Kerala: In Kerala, the survey predicts a tight race between the Left Democratic Front (LDF) and United Democratic Front (UDF), with the LDF slightly ahead.
The LDF is projected to secure 42–43% vote share and 61–71 seats, while the UDF may get 41–42% vote share and 58–69 seats in the 140-member Assembly, where the majority mark is 71 seats.
The poll also indicated that the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in Kerala could register a double-digit vote share, though it is unlikely to significantly affect the overall outcome.